The Voter Trap: 1890s North Carolina

Step through the model period by period — from Reconstruction to Jim Crow

t = 0 Phase I  c. 1877–1891

Model at this period
Signal draw xC
Signal draw xE
Democrat brand BR
Fusion brand BL
(i) PO dominance
(ii) Salience ΔC > 0.556

Brand Dynamics — BR (Democrat) and BL (Fusion)

Cultural Identity Weight ΔC,t vs. Voting Cutoff (0.556)

Election Outcomes by Period